Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 16 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 3 July 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 69 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 9 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 4:32PM EDT until July 3 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana
Urban PEI: 175,807 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- March 21, 2026 · score 43 · 1.1 km
- March 20, 2026 · score 43 · 1.1 km
- March 19, 2026 · score 43 · 1.1 km
How we know
8 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.88/1 |
| Coordinates | 42.2640, -85.6257 |
| Nearest City | Kalamazoo (4 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 175.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-03T20:32:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b24d03755ef7ccea913e3e2b4dcb4a1e |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-03T20:32:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-03T20:33:35.050Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Elkhart, IN; St. Joseph, IN; Cass, MI; St. Joseph, MI; Elkhart, IN; Lagrange, IN; Steuben, IN; Branch, MI; St. Joseph, MI; Porter, IN and 5 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 4:32PM EDT until July 3 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana |
| Expires | 2026-07-03T17:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Northern Indiana |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 8 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b24d03755ef7ccea913e3e2b4dcb4a1e09786010.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6169c34c2bb1ba3990af079a4d5e21ea50ca2da2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1aab2ebb65cc5ac171326525da3ad6a6b6a759dc.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d0d6323ba08370783cd9751abbdbf412fa2d515a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7d863dd858e5a26cba290ce92c6ee44b7b775bb1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a691e36112cba5019a11d9b52e4331f740718304.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b120d14e3dcc7999c8c33f086af3d58b6dbb15c3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fc84b1f00e50c786a3314c3a9d6f9eb38a99d948.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | N |
| Iem Magnitude | 45 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 2 NNW Saugatuck |
| Iem County | LMZ845 |
| Iem State | MI |
| Iem Wfo | GRR |
| Iem Remark | Mesonet station XSTK Saugatuck Pier. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_D_41.990_-86.300_1783108800000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783108800000,"latitude":41.99,"longitude":-86.3},{"id":"iem_N_42.750_-86.100_1783108380000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783108380000,"latitude":42.75,"longitude":-86.1},{"id":"iem_G_42.230_-85.550_1783109100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783109100000,"latitude":42.23,"longitude":-85.55},{"id":"iem_G_42.130_-86.420_1783107900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783107900000,"latitude":42.13,"longitude":-86.42},{"id":"iem_D_42.160_-86.260_1783108620000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783108620000,"latitude":42.16,"longitude":-86.26},{"id":"iem_N_42.130_-86.420_1783107900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783107900000,"latitude":42.13,"longitude":-86.42},{"id":"iem_N_42.680_-86.220_1783108140000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783108140000,"latitude":42.68,"longitude":-86.22}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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